The French news agency AFP recently analyzed President Erdoğan’s growing prominence on the international diplomatic stage, emphasizing Turkey’s strategic maneuvers and his leadership. The report highlights Turkey’s enhanced influence in Syria following the ousting of the Assad regime, as well as Erdoğan’s pivotal role in mediating peace efforts in the Horn of Africa, positioning Turkey as a significant player in global affairs.
The analysis points out that Turkey’s actions have not only solidified its standing in the region but have also provided it with a platform from which to engage in broader international diplomacy. Erdoğan’s leadership is increasingly recognized, as he navigates complex geopolitical waters with a focus on both national and regional security.
A New Era in Syria
In a notable development, AFP reported that Ibrahim Kalın, the head of Turkey’s National Intelligence Organization, recently met with HTS leader Abu Mohammed al-Golani. This meeting underscores Turkey’s efforts to strengthen its relationships with the Syrian opposition and establish a more direct communication channel with the Assad government. The analysis asserts that Turkey’s influence in the region has blossomed in the wake of the regime’s removal.
Furthermore, Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan’s remarks about eradicating the PKK/YPG terrorist organization from Syrian territory illustrate Ankara’s assertive strategy concerning border security and counter-terrorism. Such stances not only enhance Turkey’s image as a regional power but also reflect its commitment to maintaining stability along its borders.
Peace in the Horn of Africa
President Erdoğan’s diplomatic ventures extend beyond Syria, as highlighted by his mediation efforts in the longstanding dispute between Ethiopia and Somalia. AFP characterized this involvement as yet another diplomatic triumph for the Turkish leader, underscoring Turkey’s growing role in fostering peace and stability not just in its immediate vicinity but also on a global scale.
This proactive approach in the Horn of Africa signals Turkey’s ambition to be seen as a key player in international diplomacy, further elevating Erdoğan’s profile as a leader committed to resolving conflicts through dialogue and negotiation.
Praise from Trump
The analysis also captured U.S. President Donald Trump’s commendation of Erdoğan, noting his recognition of Turkey’s strategic significance in the Syrian conflict. Trump remarked, “The key to Syria will be in Turkey’s hands. Erdoğan is a very smart leader with whom I get along well,” thus highlighting the importance of Turkish involvement in shaping future policies in the region.
This praise not only reflects a positive bilateral relationship but also illustrates the trust placed in Erdoğan’s leadership to navigate the complexities of Syrian politics.
Erdoğan’s Strategic Position
According to Marlow Global Research Director Anthony Skinner, Erdoğan’s strategic foresight has significantly bolstered Turkey’s standing in international diplomacy. Skinner notes that the Erdoğan administration has cultivated relationships with various state and non-state actors, thereby enhancing Turkey’s influence at both the regional and global levels.
Skinner further emphasized the visible outcomes of these strategies, particularly in Syria and the Horn of Africa, asserting, “Erdoğan has played his cards well so far and holds an enviable position regarding Syria.” This underscores Erdoğan’s ability to maneuver through complex international relationships to Turkey’s advantage.
Turkey as a Mediator
Erdoğan’s potential role as a mediator in global peace initiatives is becoming increasingly evident, particularly with his offer to facilitate discussions between Khartoum and Abu Dhabi. This positioning not only enhances Turkey’s diplomatic stature but also signals Erdoğan’s ambition to be an influential actor in global peace efforts.
As Turkey’s diplomatic influence grows, it becomes increasingly clear that Erdoğan is emerging as a significant benefactor in the evolving geopolitical landscape, particularly in the context of Syria.
Solidifying Control Along the Border
International security expert Max Abrahms pointed out that Turkey is likely to take decisive action to reinforce its control along the Syrian border and mitigate the PKK threat. Abrahms suggested that the U.S. withdrawal of troops from Syria could further weaken the PKK/YPG, which would align with Turkey’s strategic interests.
This potential shift in the balance of power is crucial for Turkey as it seeks to solidify its influence in a region fraught with conflict and instability.
A Period of Rising Influence
Hamish Kinnear, a senior analyst at Verisk Maplecroft, commented on the opportunities presented to Turkey following the downfall of Bashar al-Assad. Kinnear noted that this situation could facilitate the return of Syrian refugees in Turkey and bolster Ankara’s regional influence.
He also highlighted Turkey’s unique position to mediate discussions between Russia and Ukraine, further underscoring Erdoğan’s diplomatic successes. Kinnear remarked, “There’s no doubt this is a period when Erdoğan’s star is shining,” signaling a significant moment in Turkey’s diplomatic history.
